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Windy weekend expected as disturbance passes over Florida
FOX 13 meteorologist Jim Weber has the latest conditions in the tropics.
TAMPA, Fla. - The Bay Area is in for a windy weekend as a disturbance moves northwest across the state.
FOX 13 Meteorologist Dave Osterberg says we can expect 20–25 mph wind gusts throughout the day on Friday, with occasional wind gusts of up to 30 mph.
He added that when quick, little showers go through, that’s when we will likely see higher wind gusts.
Why is it so windy?
Osterberg explained that there is a large ridge of high pressure east of Virginia, which is pumping in a northeasterly wind. At the same time, there is an area of interest in the northern Bahamas that has a 10 percent chance of tropical development.
It will shift west-northwest over Florida and the combination of those two systems makes it feel pretty windy outside.
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Osterberg says it will continue through Sunday morning and will pick up moisture from the Gulfstream, pushing showers west across Florida.
He added that there will be a lot rain from Jacksonville through Miami, with the most falling from Daytona Beach through West Palm Beach.
Meanwhile, there will be less rain along the west coast as we get a few passing showers on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
Ostberg stressed that the weekend will not be a washout in the Bay Area.
Tracking two tropical disturbances
There are two areas currently being monitored in the Atlantic for development.
An area of low pressure over the Bahamas has a low (10%) chance of formation within the next seven days.
Moderate wind shear over the western Atlantic will make it difficult for this spot to get organized.
Interestingly enough, this formed along the frontal boundary that stems from the remnants of Hurricane Imelda.
The combination of this low and a robust high-pressure system to its north will funnel deep tropical moisture into the east coast of Florida.
A tropical wave emerging off Africa’s coastline today has a medium (50%) chance of development within the next seven days.
Many long-range weather models now show this system developing in the western tropical Atlantic next week. The Lesser Antilles should keep an eye on its progress.
This is over 4,000 miles away from our coastline and poses no immediate threat to the United States. Weather models would become significantly more dependable after a tropical storm or depression actually forms.
If a new tropical storm forms, the next name on our 2025 storm naming list would be "Jerry."
The Source: This story was written with information provided in FOX 13 Meteorologist Dave Osterberg's forecast.