Three Atlantic tropical systems are forming: Will any hit Florida?

Published August 12, 2026 6:10 AM EDT

Meteorologists are tracking three tropical systems across the Atlantic Ocean on Wednesday morning, though none currently threaten Florida.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Tracking

What we know:

A disturbance located about 1,000 miles east-northeast of Bermuda has a 50 percent chance for tropical development. This system has a brief window to form before moving over cooler water on Thursday. 

The next named storm of the season will be Cristobal.

Southern Caribbean Disturbance Outlook

Why you should care:

A second disturbance located farther south recently moved off the African coast and holds a 20 percent chance of developing. 

Meanwhile, a third southern system has an 80 percent chance of tropical formation as it travels west-northwest toward the islands over the coming days.

Caribbean Environmental Factors

What we don't know:

Strong wind shear caused by El Nino and dense Saharan dust could limit the stronger southern system's growth as it approaches the Caribbean. 

Forecasters have not confirmed whether the disturbance will survive these limiting conditions in the long run.

The Source: The information in this story was gathered from FOX 13 Meteorologist Dave Osterberg.

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