How much longer will intense heat last in the Tampa Bay area before more rain returns? Here's the timeline

Published July 31, 2025 5:56 AM EDT

While it's always hot during the summer in the Tampa Bay area, temperatures and heat indexes have been exceptionally high in recent days – a trend that will last a little longer as the calendar turns to August.

Thursday forecast

By the numbers:

FOX 13 Meteorologist Dave Osterberg says Thursday will be another scorcher, with the high temperature again reaching the mid-90s and feeling like triple-digits area-wide.

A heat advisory is in effect across the Bay Area from noon until 7 p.m.

Rain chances will stay at about 20-30%, according to Osterberg, with most rainfall occurring inland.

Friday & weekend weather

What's next:

Muggy, steamy conditions will stick around over the next few days, as well, with rain chances staying at about 30% until the latter part of the weekend into next week.

Why the lack of rain?

Dig deeper:

Osterberg says that despite the high humidity, there's much drier air in the mid levels of the atmosphere.

"We see a lot of this in the wintertime," Osterberg said. "But in the summertime? You may have little pockets of drier air from time to time, but all this mid-level dry air just lowers the rain chances."

More deep tropical moisture will eventually make its way over the region, according to Osterberg, but it's going to take time.

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As the moisture returns next week, rain chances will go back up – meaning the temperatures will go back down to more typical levels for this time of year.

The Source: This story was written with information from FOX 13 meteorologists.

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