TAMPA, Fla. - Election offices will start sending out Florida mail-in ballots on Thursday, and the state is already seeing a record surge in requests.
The New York Times launched a dashboard showing how the states’ ballot requests compare to those four years ago. In Florida more than 4.6 million have already requested mail ballots.
To put in perspective, 26% of all registered voters received mail ballots in 2016 and already 33% have requested ballots this year.
Compared to 2016, overall requests are up 139-percent. Pennsylvania’s up more than 1,800 percent from 2016.
There is a sharp partisan split among voters who are requesting to vote by mail.
In Florida and the swing states of Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Maine – where at least one electoral vote is up for grabs – far more Democrats are requesting mail ballots than Republicans.
President Trump’s frequent criticism of voting by mail appears to be driving that split, though he says it’s safe and secure in Florida.
This has the potential to produce misleading returns on election night, because it indicates the mail votes will skew Biden and the in-person votes on Election Day will skew Trump. And states count those ballots in different orders – meaning one candidate could run up a substantial lead early and still lose when all the votes come in.
Floridians may request ballots up to 10 days before the election, but election managers urge voters to request ballots now and mail them in plenty of time to arrive by election night.
The last day to register to vote in Florida for this election is October 5.