Tropical Storm Erin moving west, expected to become first Atlantic hurricane of 2025 season

Tracking the Tropics: August 12, 2025

FOX 13 meteorologist Jim Weber has the latest on Tropical Storm Erin.

TAMPA, Fla. - The National Hurricane Center says Tropical Storm Erin is making its way west across the Atlantic Ocean – but with the storm still thousands of miles from the U.S. coast, FOX 13 meteorologists say it's still too soon to pinpoint its eventual path.

Erin formed on Monday just west of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Tropical Storm Erin's track

As of 5 p.m. Tuesday, Erin was located at 17.0N and 38.3W with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph, with the NHC saying some gusts could be stronger.

The storm is moving west at 22 mph.

FOX 13 Chief Meteorologist Paul Dellegatto says Erin will continue on a general west/west-northwest track for the next several days. 

This track will bring the storm over warmer water and into an environment more favorable for intensification. 

Dellegatto says Erin should become a hurricane by Thursday and potentially a major hurricane by the end of the weekend. 

Will Erin threaten Florida?

The long-term track of Erin hinges on an expected weakness in the subtropical ridge which will allow Erin to start moving northwest and eventually north. 

This expected track would result in the storm passing east of Florida. 

This turn is still not a lock. There is still some uncertainty in the long-term track, which is to be expected on any forecast beyond five days. 

So, we will watch this day-by-day and look for continued model consensus and continuity. 

In the meantime, our weather will be typical for August. Daytime highs in the mid 90°s with scattered afternoon thunderstorms.

Tuesday weather forecast

In the meantime, our weather will be typical for August. 

Daytime highs in the mid 90°s with scattered afternoon thunderstorms.